By interlink | 15/07/2025
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Asia-Europe Shipping Rate Update: Stagnation Amidst Volatility and Increased Risk of Port Congestion
Amidst the volatile global logistics market, the upward trend in Asia-Europe shipping rates has shown signs of slowing after six consecutive weeks of increases. However, according to experts, this may only be a “temporary pause” before the market enters a new cycle of volatility, with many challenges quietly accumulating – especially port congestion in Europe.
Asia-Europe Container Rates: Slightly Cooling Down, But Not Stable
The recently published World Container Index (WCI) by Drewry shows that freight rates on the Shanghai-Rotterdam route have decreased by 2% compared to the previous week, to US$3,384/40ft container. This is the first time in over a month that rates have shown signs of adjustment after a prolonged upward trend.
However, the market is reflecting conflicting trends. The SCFI index remained high at $3,996/container, while Xeneta’s XSI stabilized at $3,393. Notably, Freightos’ FBX index increased by 14% to $3,522/container – indicating inconsistency in the container freight market.
Many freight forwarders assess that the market is currently sideways, with some shipping lines beginning to slightly reduce prices to maintain competitiveness. Except for a few hotspots like Xiamen port, most shipments are still moving smoothly, with no signs of serious congestion.
Port Congestion in Europe: A Trigger for New Changes?
Despite seemingly stable freight rates, the risk of port congestion in Northern Europe is clearly increasing. According to Peter Sand, Director of Market Analysis at Xeneta, disruptions at major ports such as Hamburg, Rotterdam, and Antwerp could last until the end of 2025.
Shipping companies have begun to take countermeasures such as skipping ports of call, changing routes, and consolidating shipments to shorten transit times and minimize the risk of delayed deliveries. However, these measures also increase complexity in the supply chain and create additional costs for shippers.
Frequency Rates on Other Routes Also Fluctuate Significantly
Not only the Asia-Northern Europe route, but other shipping routes have also seen significant changes:
- Asia-Mediterranean Route: WCI recorded a 7% decrease to $3,491/40ft container. This is the first time in many years that the Mediterranean route has had lower rates than the Northern Europe route.
- Asia-North America Route: Shanghai-Los Angeles decreased by 8% to $2,931; Shanghai – New York freight rates fell 5% to $4,839/container. Freight rates to the US West Coast have dropped 51% in just over a month – primarily due to the impact of new tax policies and a decline in pre-ordered cargo.
- Transatlantic Route: Rotterdam – New York freight rates also reversed course, falling 6% to $1,990/container.
Sea Freight Market: Challenges Driven by Information
In a period of market instability, staying updated on freight rates for Asia-Europe and other key routes is crucial for import and export businesses. Changes in consumer behavior, geopolitical pressures, and port congestion have made global supply chains more unpredictable than ever.
Interlink – with over 15 years of experience in international shipping – proactively updates market information, advises on optimal solutions, and ensures timely delivery under all circumstances. We help our clients stay one step ahead in the face of change, thereby minimizing costs, avoiding risks, and ensuring efficient supply chain operations.
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